Overall Inflation

The region’s inflation rate for the bottom 30%   income   households   slowed   down    to 0.7 percent in April 2025 from 1.2 percent in March 2025. In April 2024, the inflation rate was posted at 5.3 percent.

Main Drivers to the Downward Trend of the Overall Inflation

The downtrend in the overall inflation for the bottom 30% income households in April 2025 was primarily influenced by a faster year-on-year drop in the heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages at 0.9 percent during the month from 0.1 percent drop in the previous month, and transport at 1.1 percent decline during the month from 0.2 percent drop in the previous month. Also contributing to the downward trend was the slower year-on-year increase in housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuel at 4.2 percent from 3.7 percent in March 2025.

Moreover, lower annual rates were noted in the indices of the following commodity groups during the month:

a. Clothing and Footwear, 2.5 percent from 3.7 percent; 
b. Recreation, sport and culture, 6.7 percent from 7.3 percent; and
c. Personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services, 3.0 percent from 3.1 percent.

In contrast, the following commodity groups registered higher annual growth rates during the month:

a. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 3.1 percent from 2.7 percent; and
b. Restaurants and accommodation services, 3.9 percent from 3.4 percent.

The indices of furnishing, household equipment and routine, health, information and communication, education services, and financial services retained their respective previous month’s inflation rates in March 2025.

Main Contributors to the Headline Inflation

The top three commodity groups contributing to the April 2025 overall inflation were the following:

a. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels with 73.5 percent share or                   0.5 percentage point;
b. Restaurants and accommodation services with 35.1 percent share or       0.3 percentage point; and
c. Personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services with 19.8 percent share or 0.1 percentage point.

Food Inflation

Food inflation at the regional level decreased to 1.2 percent in April 2025 from 0.5 percent drop in the previous month. In April 2024, food inflation was higher at 9.9 percent.

Main Drivers to the Downward Trend of Food Inflation

The deceleration of food inflation in April 2025 was primarily brought about by faster year-on-year decrease in the index of rice at 14.1 percent during the month from 12.8 percent drop in March 2025. Also contributing to the downward trend was the slower annual increase in the indices of vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses at 12.4 percent from 16.9 percent in March 2025 and Fish and other seafood at 2.5 percent during the month from 3.6 percent in the previous month.

Slower annual increases were also noted in the indices of the following food groups: 
a. Corn, 6.3 percent from 8.5 percent;
b. Flour, bread and other dairy products, 3.9 percent from 4.0 percent; and
c. Meat, and other parts of slaughtered land animals, 10.8 percent from 12.1 percent;

Faster annual decline was also noted in the index of sugar, confectionery and desserts at 2.0 percent from 1.7 percent drop in the previous month.

In contrast, faster annual increases were observed in the following food groups:
a. Milk, and other dairy products and eggs, 3.0 percent from 0.8 percent; 
b. Oils and fats, 0.4 percent from 0.1 percent;
c. Fruit and nuts, 10.7 percent from 6.8 percent; and
d. Ready-made food and other products, 3.7 percent from 3.6 percent.

Main Contributors to the Food Inflation

Food inflation shared -99.7 percent or -0.7 percentage point to the overall inflation in        April 2025. The top three food groups in terms of contribution to the food inflation during the month were the following:

a. Cereal and cereal products, with a share of 373.2 percent or -4.5 percentage points; 
b. Sugar, confectionery and desserts, with a share of 5.1 percent or -0.06 percentage point; and 
c. Oils and fats, with a share of -0.4 percent or 0.00 percentage point.
 

DEFINITIONS AND CONCEPTS

Consumer Price Index - a statistical measure of the change in average retail prices of a fixed basket of goods and services bought by a specific group of consumers in a given area in a given period of time.

Purchasing Power of the Currency or Peso (PPP) - a measure of the volume of goods and services which the currency can buy at any given period relative to that which it could purchase during the base year.  It is computed as the reciprocal of the CPI for the period under review multiplied by 100.

Market Basket - the total number of goods and services in constant amounts and qualities which are samples of the goods and services available in the market and included in the construction of the index.  CPI market basket was selected to represent the composite price behavior of all goods and services purchased by consumers. Composition of the 2012 market basket was determined based on the results of the 2018 update of the 2012 basket. Provinces and selected cities had own market baskets.  

Base Year - it identifies the base period with which the index relates. It is a period of time chosen as reference on which a price index is computed. The index for the base year is 100.

Retail Price - the actual price at which retailers sell a commodity on spot or earliest delivery, usually in small quantities for consumption and not for resale. It is confined to transactions on cash basis in the free market and excludes black-market prices and prices of commodities that are on sale as in summer sales, anniversary sales, Christmas sales, etc.

Percent Change - the percent point change expressed as percent of the index of the earliest date.

Inflation Rate - the annual rate of change or the year-on-year change of the CPI.  Inflation is interpreted in terms of declining purchasing power of money.

Note to Users:

    The monthly Consumer Price Index is computed based on the average retail prices of goods and services collected during the first week and mid-month of the reference month.